Close X
Sunday, November 10, 2024
ADVT 
National

Is hurricane Lee headed for Canada? The 'spaghetti models' can be misleading: expert

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 08 Sep, 2023 10:34 AM
  • Is hurricane Lee headed for Canada? The 'spaghetti models' can be misleading: expert

For residents of Canada's East Coast, some of the latest images showing the potential path northward for a rapidly intensifying hurricane Lee are disturbing.

By combining multiple computer-generated forecasts, meteorologists have produced maps of the western Atlantic Ocean that suggest the powerful storm could slam into the Maritimes late next week.

But an expert says these long-range models are of little use beyond about five days.

Chris Fogarty, program manager at the Canadian Hurricane Centre in Halifax, says these spaghetti models — so called because the layers of predicted tracks look like splayed noodles — don't adequately represent the broad range of possible forecasts.

As an example of that lack of accuracy, Fogarty pointed to the path recently taken by hurricane Franklin earlier this month.

The 10-day spaghetti model for Franklin also indicated it would head toward Atlantic Canada, but its actual track took the storm out to sea long before it came close to Canadian waters

MORE National ARTICLES

Feds to speed up housing construction

Feds to speed up housing construction
Sean Fraser says the federal government is looking at a number of ways to work with provinces and municipalities to speed up the construction of housing through subsidies and other incentives and drive prices down.   

Feds to speed up housing construction

Charges in alleged teenage chase: VPD

Charges in alleged teenage chase: VPD
Police in Vancouver say a 54-year-old man is facing multiple charges after he allegedly chased a group of teenagers with a knife. They say a 16-year-old boy called 9-1-1 to report he and his friends were being threatened by an armed stranger.

Charges in alleged teenage chase: VPD

BC traffic stop leads to seizure of firearms and drugs

BC traffic stop leads to seizure of firearms and drugs
A B-C woman in her 30s faces numerous charges after a traffic stop outside of Williams Lake lead to the seizure of a loaded firearm and methamphetamines. R-C-M-P say it happened on August 3rd when officers saw a vehicle speeding along Highway 97. 

BC traffic stop leads to seizure of firearms and drugs

Vernon man charged in crash

Vernon man charged in crash
A 36-year-old Vernon man has been charged after a head-on collision on Highway 97 left two people dead. It happened in the early hours of August 5th near the Vernon Military Camp.  

Vernon man charged in crash

Homicide in New Westminster

Homicide in New Westminster
Homicide detectives have been called in to investigate after a man's body was found inside a home in New Westminster. Police say officers were sent to the home last night to carry out a well-being check.

Homicide in New Westminster

Hot spell add to wildfire woes

Hot spell add to wildfire woes
The wildfire service is reporting about 375 fires around B.C., with about 11 recorded since midday Sunday and another 11 still ranked as fires of note, meaning they are highly visible or threaten people or property.

Hot spell add to wildfire woes