Canada will seek to admit 401,000 new permanent residents next year, a target that if met would be a historic number of newcomers.
But how realistic that plan is in an era of closed borders, a massive economic downturn and reduced capacity within the federal government to handle applications remains to be seen.
Immigration Minister Marco Mendicino unveiled the government's latest immigration targets today in a report tabled to Parliament.
Between 2021 and 2023, the goal is to admit upwards of 1.2 million new permanent residents.
Canadians understand that newcomers are playing an outsized role in stepping up to fill some of our most acute labour shortages and that growing our population is imperative if we want to leverage the advantages we have and keep 🇨🇦 competitive on the world stage. pic.twitter.com/YbHhyoONTL— Marco Mendicino (@marcomendicino) October 30, 2020
The key to both short-term economic recovery and long-term prosperity is immigration. And that’s exactly why Canada’s Immigration Plan, which we unveil today, lays out a bold vision to support 🇨🇦 success. https://t.co/bLqTZRlOnG— Marco Mendicino (@marcomendicino) October 30, 2020
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The plan tabled in Parliament did not break out the targets for the various immigration categories, just a low and high range.
Altogether, the target figures represent a marked increase in three-year plans unveiled last March, when the government said it was aiming for just over one million people by 2022.
That plan was released just as the country — and much of the world — was closing borders to try to stop the spread of COVID-19.
The global shutdown is likely to result in the number of permanent residents settling in Canada this year to be cut by around half.
In a statement, Mendicino said the three-year plan was built to compensate for this year's shortfall.
But the potential for a relatively low number of newcomers to continue to be admitted is reflected in the numbers.
While the government's target is 401,000 people, the report says as few as 300,000 might actually be accepted.
That figure is below even the original lowest projected intake in the original plan Mendicino unveiled in March, where the government had aimed for between 330,000 and 380,000 new permanent residents in 2021.