Close X
Monday, October 28, 2024
ADVT 
International

Presidents and prime ministers: How cross-border personality clashes could play out

Darpan News Desk The Canadian Press, 23 Oct, 2024 04:33 PM
  • Presidents and prime ministers: How cross-border personality clashes could play out

President John F. Kennedy stood before Canadian lawmakers elucidating the important relationship between the two countries: "Geography has made us neighbours. History has made us friends. Economics has made us partners."

"And necessity has made us allies," Kennedy said in a 1961 address to Parliament. 

But behind the scenes, the relationship between the charismatic Kennedy and then-prime minister John Diefenbaker was toxic.

With the looming United States election, the future of who will be at the helm of the bilateral relationship remains unclear, but Canada cannot escape the geopolitical pull of its closest neighbour.

While some presidents and prime ministers have been on friendly terms, the shared geography and history hasn't stopped clashes between others.

"We have a long history of presidents and prime ministers hating each other's guts... and yet the system works,” said Aaron Ettinger, a political science professor at Carleton University.

Experts say incompatible personalities won’t irreparably harm the relationship, but it can make it harder for Canada. 

"It's very difficult to operate when you have outright antagonism between the leaders — and that is less a function of ideology and more a function of personality," said Laura Dawson, an expert on Canada-U. S. relations and the executive director of the Future Borders Coalition.

That became clear during the first Trump administration when the former president scrapped the North American Free Trade Agreement. Negotiations of it's replacement, the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement, were marked by public spats between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and former president Donald Trump.

Trump called Trudeau "weak" and "dishonest" after the prime minister criticized the president's 2018 tariff actions at the G7 summit in Quebec. 

Robert Lighthizer, Trump's trade representative, recounted in his book that U.S.-Canada relations were "at their lowest ebb since the failed American invasion of Upper Canada during the War of 1812."

The following year there was another blow-up when Trudeau and other NATO leaders appeared to be on video talking about a Trump press conference. The former president called the prime minister "two-faced."

While the relationship between the leaders was publicly rocky, behind the scenes CUSMA was successfully negotiated. Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland called the agreement a "victory for all Canadians," and experts say it was more moderate than Trump originally threatened.

Whoever takes the White House will be in charge during trade pact's 2026 review.

Trudeau is a political veteran now, Dawson said, and is more prepared for a possible second Trump administration.

"We know that Trump-Trudeau is not a good fit," Dawson said. "But I'm sure that Trudeau will figure out a way to make it work." 

Most experts say Kamala Harris' personality would be a better match with Trudeau. It's been reported they already have a good relationship and many of their policy goals align. He originally ran on "sunny ways" and she kicked off her campaign with "joy."

The vice-president also spent part of her youth living in Canada, although observers say the impact of her teenage years in Montreal is probably overstated.

"Harris would obviously be easier for probably anyone to get along with," Dawson said. "But getting along only goes so far."

Harris has been campaigning on her vote against CUSMA, saying it didn't do enough to protect U.S. workers, and is expected to follow the Biden administration's Buy American procurement rules. 

There's another outcome to consider: a change in Canadian leadership. A general election must be held by October next year, but it could come sooner if the Liberals lose the confidence of the House.

The Conservatives have long held a lead in the polls amid high inflation, an exodus of Liberal ministers and uncertainty over Trudeau's political future.

"We have a whole lot of turnover in the works coming up in the next two years between Canada and the United States," Ettinger said. "And it's possible that we have two leaders who have never met one another."

It's not clear how Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre would get along with either presidential candidate. 

Ivan Ivanov, an assistant professor at the University of Ottawa, said Poilievre "is a professional communicator." The expert in public relations and crisis management said the Conservative leader can be combative — which could hurt or help the bilateral relationship — but it plays well among Canadian voters.

During President Joe Biden's state visit to Canada last year he met with Poilievre and they discussed Canadian exemptions to Buy America rules, national defence interests and other issues. A photo shared on Poilievre’s social media shows the leaders shaking hands. 

However, Ettinger said he doesn't think we can "glean much about how he personally will interact with other leaders on the international stage." 

"He’s a complete cipher."

Poilievre's promises share some insight. He pledged to match American tariffs on Chinese-produced electric vehicles a few weeks before the Liberal government took action this summer and promised to push Americans on the longstanding softwood lumber dispute.

Poilievre has also been known to use slogans in the Republican lexicon. For example, Poilievre said he will "replace woke culture with warrior culture" in the military and that "biological males" should not be in women's sports and change rooms — both talking points were included in multiple speeches at the recent Republican National Convention.

But that doesn’t necessarily make him the better match for Trump, Dawson said. 

"We might think that a Poilievre-Trump pairing would be better because he's got a more ideological fit," Dawson said. 

"But we know that Trump is not a traditional Republican at all."

 

MORE International ARTICLES

UN: Asylum Rights Of Sikhs, Hindus Fleeing Afghanistan Attacks 'Must Be Respected'

Asked at his briefing on Thursday specifically if Sikhs and Hindus who are are under attack there should be given asylum in India, he said, "The asylum regime, the refugee regime must be respected the world over."

UN: Asylum Rights Of Sikhs, Hindus Fleeing Afghanistan Attacks 'Must Be Respected'

Germany Announces Biggest Aid Package Since WW2

Germany has approved a massive and unprecedented financial aid package of 156 billion euro ($166.5 bn), the largest in the country since the Second World War, to offset the socio-economic damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

Germany Announces Biggest Aid Package Since WW2

Islamic State Attack on Gurudwara In Kabul Leaves 25 Dead; India, US Condemn Strike

Several members of the Sikh community were feared to have been killed in a terror attack on a Gurudwara in central Kabul on Wednesday.

Islamic State Attack on Gurudwara In Kabul Leaves 25 Dead; India, US Condemn Strike

New Jersey Attorney-General Grewal Gets 1,400 Black Market Complaints

New Jersey Attorney-General Gurbir Grewal has said that his office has received 1,400 complaints of blackmarketing by 900 businesses as the state grapples with a shortage of everyday needs and warned that there would be crackdown.

New Jersey Attorney-General Grewal Gets 1,400 Black Market Complaints

Coronavirus: Sikh Family In US Makes Face Masks At Home To Help Health Workers

Amid the fast-spreading coronavirus pandemic in the US, a Sikh family based in the state of Indiana have made masks in an effort to help the public and first responders in the fight against the deadly disease, a media report said.

Coronavirus: Sikh Family In US Makes Face Masks At Home To Help Health Workers

Indian Expat Falls Asleep At Dubai Airport, Now Stranded

A United Arab Emirates (UAE)-based Indian expat was now stranded at the Dubai airport after he fell asleep while waiting for his flight back home, a media report said.

Indian Expat Falls Asleep At Dubai Airport, Now Stranded